User blog:Relativo94/How much is a chest worth?

The aim of this article is to rank the 57 chests of Clash Royale attending to its "weight in gold". The numbers are for arena 11, but the ranking for slightly lower arenas is very similar.

For compute the "weight in gold " of a chest we will take into account the average quantity of gold and the total amount of cards according to its rarity. Namely, 5 gold for each COMMON card, 50 gold for each RARE card, 500 gold for each EPIC card and 20000 gold for each LEGENDARY card. This is the gold that a player receives when he donates a card and/or when he gets extra cards in case he already has this card at the maximum level.

A chest has some guaranteed cards and some probability to get extra cards. Of course, is better a silver chest that contains a legendary card than a legendary chest, but we will count the average value according to the probabilities. For example, a MAGICAL chest contains 1200 gold and 123 cards, of which 24.6 are rare (24 guaranteed and 60% chance of getting an extra rare), 4.1 are epic (4 guaranteed and 10% chance of getting an extra epic), 0.129 are legendary (0 guaranteed and 12.9% chance of getting a legendary) and the rest are common cards. Hence, the "weight in gold" of a MAGICAL chest is 1200 + 50*24.6 + 500*4.1 + 20000*0.129 + 5*(123 - 24.6 - 4.1 - 0.129) = 7531. If we make this for each chest, we obtain the following table:

Where I have added a column comparing each chest with the silver chest.

With this information we can see that 12 wins grand challenge chest is like a super magical chest, or that a magical chest is better (but not enought better to justify the price difference) than a giant chest. In summary, with this information you can make decisions with numbers and not just through your impressions.

Thanks for reading,

Relativo.